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预测市场/Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Vote Share?

4 个选项·$282.3K·已结束

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Vote Share?

42-45%
价格走势
100%
概率 · chance
····
演示数据结算 2026-09-06
选项
买 是买 否
42-45%
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每个选项的价格在 1¢ 到 99¢ 之间,价格就是市场实时认为它发生的概率。看好就买「是」,不看好就买「否」。市场结算时,押中的每份赔付 $1;也可以随时按当前价格提前卖出。 玩法介绍 →

规则

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).

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正在交易:42-45%

42-45%
当前选项

该选项暂无持仓,买入后才能卖出。

买入

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允许的价格浮动

0.5%
0
1%
2%
当前价格50¢
金额 ($)
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预估份额—
总价—
预计成本—